Wednesday, October 14, 2009

Pre Open Wheat 14 Oct 09


Wheat; Dec09 was up 4 cent overnight.
Support by
  • lower dollar index and outside market.
  • Speculate money pour on wheat contract.
  • Export inspection inline with estimated at 17.8 million bushels from last week 22.2 million.
Bearish factor
  • Australian wheat will goes up to 22.2 - 23.5 million tonnes.
  • World ending stock quite high from last year, USDA estimated wheat ending stock at 864 million above estimated at 802 million.
Technical
  • Price moving to 510 level. I think wheat price will moving around that level cause yesterday price increase sharply so at that level some trader will lock their profit.
  • No reversal singnal.
  • price would rise to resistance level at 510 and 551 cent.

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